Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.4% | 83.6% | +9.4 | ✗ (17.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.6% | 69.4% | +9.0 | ✗ (17.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -8 (108-116). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 38 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 10 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 24 | +20.6 |
| Jericho Sims * | 35 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 23 | +16.0 |
| Myles Turner * | 30 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | +12.3 |
| AJ Green * | 30 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +8.4 |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 29 | 5-15 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | +11.2 |
| Cam Thomas | 25 | 12-20 | 4-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 17 | +11.9 |
| Ousmane Dieng | 22 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | +10.9 |
| Bobby Portis | 16 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | +5.7 |
| Gary Harris | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Pete Nance | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.8 |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 39 | 5-16 | 2-6 | 5-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | -13.2 |
| Desmond Bane * | 38 | 11-17 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 20 | -16.7 |
| Jalen Suggs * | 34 | 5-14 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 19 | -10.7 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | -14.9 |
| Anthony Black * | 24 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | -11.1 |
| Tristan da Silva | 23 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -8.6 |
| Franz Wagner | 20 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -14.5 |
| Moritz Wagner | 17 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 18 | -6.1 |
| Jase Richardson | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Noah Penda | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.6 |
* = starter