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2026-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 13.2% 86.8% -
Bradley-Terry 25.5% 74.5% -
Margin 16.1% 83.9% +9.1 (17.1 off)
Pythagorean 35.3% 64.7% -
Efficiency 33.0% 67.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.0% 68.0% -
Log Adjusted 32.0% 68.0% -
Points Off/Def 33.4% 66.6% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -8 (108-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Porter Jr. * 38 5-14 1-3 7-7 10 11 0 2 3 18 24 -
Jericho Sims * 35 6-6 0-0 5-5 11 2 0 0 1 17 23 -
Myles Turner * 30 2-4 1-2 0-0 8 2 2 2 0 5 15 -
AJ Green * 30 2-6 2-6 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 6 4 -
Kyle Kuzma * 29 5-15 1-7 4-4 7 2 0 0 3 15 6 -
Cam Thomas 25 12-20 4-6 6-6 4 2 0 0 3 34 17 -
Ousmane Dieng 22 6-10 5-8 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 17 10 -
Bobby Portis 16 1-5 0-3 2-2 2 0 1 0 3 4 -1 -
Gary Harris 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Pete Nance 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 39 5-16 2-6 5-8 4 2 0 0 0 17 7 -
Desmond Bane * 38 11-17 8-11 1-1 2 5 2 1 4 31 20 -
Jalen Suggs * 34 5-14 4-11 2-2 1 10 4 3 1 16 19 -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 30 1-7 0-3 4-4 11 3 2 0 1 6 14 -
Anthony Black * 24 5-10 3-5 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 13 8 -
Tristan da Silva 23 2-5 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 5 4 -
Franz Wagner 20 1-7 1-5 2-2 0 3 2 0 0 5 3 -
Moritz Wagner 17 4-5 0-1 4-4 5 4 1 1 0 12 18 -
Jase Richardson 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
Noah Penda 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter