Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.9% | 52.1% | -0.6 | ✗ (13.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.0% | 32.0% | -4.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -14 (79-93). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 42 | 10-23 | 2-4 | 10-12 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 23 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 38 | 7-20 | 2-7 | 6-9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 36 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 36 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Jalen Duren * | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Daniss Jenkins | 19 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Javonte Green | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Paul Reed | 10 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Isaiah Stewart | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Caris LeVert | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 40 | 4-20 | 0-9 | 9-12 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Jalen Suggs * | 38 | 1-10 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Desmond Bane * | 37 | 7-18 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 31 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jamal Cain * | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Black | 33 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Tristan da Silva | 22 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Goga Bitadze | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jevon Carter | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter