Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.4% | 64.6% | +3.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +8 (121-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler III * | 38 | 10-16 | 0-1 | 13-15 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 28 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 34 | 12-23 | 7-15 | 3-5 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 21 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 31 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Moses Moody * | 29 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Will Richard * | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Al Horford | 27 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski | 26 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Buddy Hield | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Quinten Post | 12 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 39 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 7-7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Franz Wagner * | 36 | 7-17 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 35 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Jalen Suggs * | 31 | 4-11 | 0-7 | 5-5 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Tristan da Silva * | 28 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Black | 32 | 8-13 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Tyus Jones | 14 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Goga Bitadze | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jonathan Isaac | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jamal Cain | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter