Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.1% | 59.9% | +2.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +12 (124-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 33 | 3-13 | 1-2 | 11-16 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Desmond Bane * | 31 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 28 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Jalen Suggs * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Tristan da Silva * | 27 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Jevon Carter | 19 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Jett Howard | 18 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Jamal Cain | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Moritz Wagner | 14 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Noah Penda | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jase Richardson | 5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Goga Bitadze | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 37 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Jalen Johnson * | 36 | 10-19 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 15 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 30 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 36 | 12-21 | 9-14 | 8-9 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 41 | 31 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 35 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 21 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 31 | 3-14 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Gabe Vincent | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jock Landale | 10 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Corey Kispert | 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter