Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.8% | 51.2% | +0.3 | ✓ (22.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +23 (120-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 34 | 7-19 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Desmond Bane * | 33 | 8-16 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Black * | 30 | 8-12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Tyus Jones * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Jase Richardson | 21 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Jett Howard | 18 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Noah Penda | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Goga Bitadze | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jonathan Isaac | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Jamal Cain | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moses Moody * | 32 | 8-11 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 31 | 10-23 | 4-13 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 11 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 29 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Quinten Post * | 25 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 17 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski | 27 | 6-10 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| De'Anthony Melton | 15 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Will Richard | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Pat Spencer | 12 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Gui Santos | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Buddy Hield | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter