Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.1% | 29.9% | -4.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -11 (127-138). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 35 | 8-16 | 2-3 | 10-10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 19 | - |
| Desmond Bane * | 33 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 8-9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 28 | - |
| Paolo Banchero * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 1-5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jalen Suggs * | 31 | 8-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Franz Wagner * | 17 | 8-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Tristan da Silva | 28 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Jamal Cain | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Jevon Carter | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Goga Bitadze | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jett Howard | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jase Richardson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Noah Penda | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 33 | 19-30 | 6-9 | 7-7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 51 | 33 | - |
| Max Christie * | 28 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Naji Marshall * | 23 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 25 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 9-11 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 22 | 7-13 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | - |
| John Poulakidas | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Khris Middleton | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Tyler Smith | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| AJ Johnson | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter