🐻⬇️🏀

@
2026-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 91.9% 8.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 66.6% 33.4% - ✗
Margin 72.0% 28.0% -5.2 ✗ (22.2 off)
Pythagorean 58.0% 42.0% - ✗
Efficiency 59.8% 40.2% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 58.9% 41.1% - ✗
Log Adjusted 58.9% 41.1% - ✗
Points Off/Def 52.4% 47.6% - ✗

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +17 (126-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Black * 37 7-15 2-6 3-4 2 6 0 0 4 19 8 -
Paolo Banchero * 36 7-20 1-4 1-1 8 9 0 0 4 16 9 -
Desmond Bane * 36 4-12 1-4 2-2 4 3 2 1 2 11 7 -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 32 6-11 4-7 2-2 7 4 2 2 1 18 21 -
Franz Wagner * 25 5-13 0-2 4-4 4 3 0 0 0 14 8 -
Jase Richardson 20 5-8 1-3 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 11 9 -
Tristan da Silva 18 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 4 3 -
Goga Bitadze 15 4-4 0-0 1-1 6 1 0 2 2 9 12 -
Noah Penda 7 1-4 1-4 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 5 4 -
Tyus Jones 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Jonathan Isaac 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Jamal Cain 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 30 7-15 2-4 1-1 5 0 1 2 2 17 8 -
Ja Morant * 28 7-13 3-4 7-9 5 13 1 0 2 24 28 -
Santi Aldama * 25 3-5 0-1 3-6 5 3 0 0 0 9 12 -
Cedric Coward * 23 6-10 0-3 1-1 4 3 0 0 1 13 9 -
Jaylen Wells * 20 3-5 3-4 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 10 7 -
Jock Landale 22 9-11 1-2 2-2 8 3 1 2 2 21 22 -
Vince Williams Jr. 19 2-8 1-6 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 5 4 -
Cam Spencer 18 4-6 2-4 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 10 6 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 17 3-8 1-4 0-0 1 1 3 0 1 7 3 -
GG Jackson 17 3-7 0-2 1-2 4 0 0 2 2 7 4 -
John Konchar 16 1-3 0-1 1-2 3 3 5 1 0 3 12 -

* = starter