Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.0% | 43.0% | -1.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -5 (108-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 39 | 14-28 | 2-10 | 10-10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 23 | - |
| Tari Eason * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 30 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 29 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Amen Thompson * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 30 | 7-11 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 20 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Clint Capela | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 37 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Desmond Bane * | 37 | 12-19 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 22 | - |
| Tristan da Silva * | 34 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 27 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Anthony Black * | 23 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Jevon Carter | 22 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Moritz Wagner | 15 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jonathan Isaac | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jalen Suggs | 13 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Jett Howard | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
* = starter