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2026-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 3.2% 96.8% -
Bradley-Terry 14.6% 85.4% -
Margin 6.6% 93.4% +14.6 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 24.6% 75.4% -
Efficiency 14.2% 85.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.9% 82.1% -
Log Adjusted 17.8% 82.2% -
Points Off/Def 22.4% 77.6% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +17 (126-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Will Riley * 33 8-13 2-5 1-3 3 5 2 0 1 19 15 -
Julian Reese * 32 4-6 0-0 1-4 8 3 0 0 1 9 13 -
Bub Carrington * 31 4-8 3-4 0-1 3 5 1 0 2 11 10 -
Bilal Coulibaly * 24 3-12 0-6 0-0 6 3 0 0 1 6 2 -
Tre Johnson * 23 3-12 0-4 3-4 0 1 0 1 3 9 -4 -
Leaky Black 30 3-8 0-2 2-2 9 1 0 2 0 8 12 -
Justin Champagnie 22 6-9 0-2 1-1 8 1 1 3 0 13 17 -
Jaden Hardy 21 7-13 1-6 3-4 2 1 0 0 3 18 5 -
Sharife Cooper 19 5-11 1-3 5-6 3 3 0 0 1 16 10 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 33 7-10 3-5 8-8 2 4 0 0 0 25 21 -
Paolo Banchero * 31 15-21 1-2 6-7 5 6 0 0 2 37 25 -
Tristan da Silva * 27 3-6 2-4 0-0 9 1 0 1 1 8 12 -
Jalen Suggs * 26 5-9 0-2 0-0 3 9 2 2 2 10 15 -
Goga Bitadze * 21 2-3 0-0 5-8 6 2 0 1 1 9 14 -
Jevon Carter 30 3-9 3-7 1-2 3 6 0 0 0 10 10 -
Noah Penda 19 1-2 0-0 3-3 5 1 0 2 1 5 10 -
Moritz Wagner 15 2-6 0-1 6-6 3 0 0 0 0 10 7 -
Jett Howard 13 4-6 1-2 3-3 1 2 0 0 0 12 9 -
Jase Richardson 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 -1 -
Jonathan Isaac 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jamal Cain 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter