Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.2% | 81.8% | +8.3 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +1 (115-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington * | 33 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 7-9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 32 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Max Christie * | 27 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Cooper Flagg * | 25 | 7-22 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 25 | 7-12 | 7-12 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Naji Marshall | 25 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 37 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Paolo Banchero * | 35 | 7-17 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Jalen Suggs * | 31 | 6-14 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Anthony Black * | 23 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 23 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Tristan da Silva | 24 | 7-7 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Jevon Carter | 19 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Noah Penda | 19 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Moritz Wagner | 12 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Goga Bitadze | 12 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
* = starter