Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.2% | 71.8% | +5.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +4 (117-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 44 | 9-20 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 13 | - |
| Franz Wagner * | 42 | 8-21 | 3-8 | 10-13 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 17 | - |
| Tristan da Silva * | 40 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 37 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Anthony Black * | 35 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Jett Howard | 19 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Goga Bitadze | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Tyus Jones | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jonathan Isaac | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 45 | 13-24 | 2-8 | 7-7 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 18 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 44 | 11-31 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 16 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 43 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Amen Thompson * | 38 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Josh Okogie * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 28 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Steven Adams | 27 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 15 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
* = starter