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2026-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 48.1% 51.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 46.0% 54.0% - ✗
Margin 53.9% 46.1% -0.9 ✓ (13.1 off)
Pythagorean 51.3% 48.7% - ✓
Efficiency 55.4% 44.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 53.1% 46.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 53.1% 46.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 47.0% 53.0% - ✗

Actual: Orlando Magic -14 (105-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 37 15-30 2-8 4-5 5 9 2 0 3 36 19 -
Evan Mobley * 34 4-14 1-6 4-4 7 3 0 1 2 13 8 -
Jaylon Tyson * 32 5-9 3-5 4-4 5 4 0 0 2 17 15 -
Dean Wade * 25 4-4 2-2 0-0 3 1 3 2 0 10 15 -
Jarrett Allen * 24 3-5 0-1 2-2 6 1 3 2 2 8 13 -
Lonzo Ball 24 2-4 2-4 0-0 8 2 3 0 1 6 14 -
Nae'Qwan Tomlin 24 3-5 2-4 1-2 1 4 0 0 1 9 8 -
Craig Porter Jr. 15 2-3 0-0 0-1 0 1 0 1 1 4 2 -
Thomas Bryant 10 1-3 1-2 1-2 3 1 0 0 2 4 3 -
Tyrese Proctor 9 4-4 2-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 12 9 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Black * 39 6-12 3-7 1-2 5 5 2 1 2 16 15 -
Desmond Bane * 38 7-14 2-6 4-4 4 3 2 0 3 20 12 -
Paolo Banchero * 38 7-14 3-6 10-12 5 2 0 0 2 27 18 -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 29 3-9 1-5 4-4 5 3 1 2 3 11 10 -
Jalen Suggs * 24 3-6 1-4 2-2 1 6 0 0 1 9 9 -
Tristan da Silva 19 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
Noah Penda 15 1-4 0-2 1-2 3 0 1 0 3 3 0 -
Jase Richardson 15 1-4 0-3 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 4 2 -
Moritz Wagner 12 4-11 1-5 4-4 6 0 1 0 1 13 8 -
Goga Bitadze 5 1-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 2 4 -

* = starter