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2025-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 32.0% 68.0% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 36.2% 63.8% - βœ“
Margin 20.0% 80.0% +7.6 βœ“ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 38.7% 61.3% - βœ“
Efficiency 24.7% 75.3% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 30.1% 69.9% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 30.1% 69.9% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 32.1% 67.9% - βœ“

Actual: Boston Celtics +9 (138-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 28 6-13 1-2 5-6 4 5 0 0 1 18 13 -
Franz Wagner * 27 5-10 0-1 5-8 8 5 0 0 2 15 16 -
Anthony Black * 27 4-13 2-4 4-5 3 5 1 0 2 14 8 -
Tristan da Silva * 23 4-7 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 1 0 9 7 -
Orlando Robinson * 13 3-4 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 7 7 -
Jett Howard 29 11-23 5-13 3-3 7 3 0 0 0 30 17 -
Tyus Jones 24 1-6 1-4 0-0 1 6 0 0 0 3 4 -
Noah Penda 23 5-6 2-2 1-1 8 4 0 1 0 13 20 -
Jase Richardson 21 7-11 3-4 1-1 5 2 0 0 0 18 14 -
Jamal Cain 16 1-6 0-4 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 2 0 -
Jonathan Isaac 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 37 14-26 2-6 5-7 4 8 1 0 1 35 21 -
Derrick White * 36 5-11 2-4 4-4 7 5 2 3 1 16 21 -
Payton Pritchard * 33 9-16 1-4 0-0 5 8 2 0 1 19 17 -
Jordan Walsh * 24 1-3 0-1 3-4 3 2 0 1 2 5 6 -
Neemias Queta * 5 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
Sam Hauser 27 5-8 4-7 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 14 7 -
Anfernee Simons 22 8-11 4-7 3-3 5 2 0 0 0 23 19 -
Josh Minott 19 7-8 2-3 0-0 7 1 0 1 0 16 17 -
Chris Boucher 14 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 2 0 1 6 -
Baylor Scheierman 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
Hugo GonzΓ‘lez 9 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 1 4 -

* = starter