Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | β |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | +1.1 | β (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | β |
Actual: Orlando Magic -1 (104-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Reaves * | 40 | 10-20 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 38 | 12-30 | 3-13 | 6-9 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 17 | - |
| LeBron James * | 34 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 30 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 20 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Rui Hachimura | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jake LaRavia | 13 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 38 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Paolo Banchero * | 36 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Jalen Suggs * | 34 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 29 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Tristan da Silva * | 21 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Jamal Cain | 22 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jevon Carter | 20 | 5-13 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Goga Bitadze | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Noah Penda | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jett Howard | 6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter