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2026-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 93.8% 6.2% -
Bradley-Terry 76.6% 23.4% -
Margin 88.1% 11.9% -11.0 (19.0 off)
Pythagorean 69.4% 30.6% -
Efficiency 79.8% 20.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.1% 23.9% -
Log Adjusted 76.2% 23.8% -
Points Off/Def 66.8% 33.2% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +8 (120-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 24 5-10 1-3 3-5 4 4 0 0 4 14 8 -
Desmond Bane * 23 5-8 1-2 4-6 2 3 0 0 4 15 8 -
Tristan da Silva * 21 5-9 3-4 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 13 6 -
Anthony Black * 20 3-10 0-5 0-0 5 4 0 1 4 6 2 -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 19 1-6 0-3 0-0 7 3 0 0 1 2 5 -
Tyus Jones 27 1-7 1-6 0-0 3 5 1 0 0 3 5 -
Noah Penda 26 4-7 1-3 1-4 4 2 4 1 2 10 12 -
Jase Richardson 25 7-12 3-4 3-3 3 3 0 0 2 20 12 -
Goga Bitadze 20 5-7 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 10 8 -
Jett Howard 15 2-10 2-3 4-5 6 3 0 0 0 10 9 -
Jonathan Isaac 11 4-6 0-0 1-1 8 0 1 2 0 9 14 -
Jamal Cain 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 38 11-19 3-7 2-2 6 5 0 0 2 27 17 -
Bilal Coulibaly * 34 4-8 1-3 5-6 8 3 5 0 2 14 20 -
Alex Sarr * 30 7-14 2-5 7-7 7 2 1 5 1 23 23 -
Tre Johnson * 22 2-7 0-4 2-2 2 5 2 0 2 6 6 -
Khris Middleton * 22 2-10 1-5 6-6 7 3 1 0 2 11 10 -
Bub Carrington 31 3-9 0-4 0-0 5 4 1 2 1 6 8 -
Justin Champagnie 22 6-7 4-5 1-2 3 3 0 2 1 17 17 -
Marvin Bagley III 17 2-6 0-0 8-8 3 0 2 1 2 12 10 -
Will Riley 12 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
AJ Johnson 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Malaki Branham 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter