Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.1% | 64.9% | +3.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +1 (107-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 37 | 9-19 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 15 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 29 | - |
| Anthony Black * | 32 | 9-19 | 2-7 | 7-7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 11 | - |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Desmond Bane * | 29 | 6-18 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Tyus Jones * | 28 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Tristan da Silva | 26 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jase Richardson | 19 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Goga Bitadze | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jamal Cain | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Noah Penda | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Jonathan Isaac | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 36 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 34 | 7-22 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 24 | 2-12 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili * | 23 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Ochai Agbaji * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 28 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 24 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 23 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Gradey Dick | 15 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Mo Bamba | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jamison Battle | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter