Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.9% | 81.1% | +8.0 | ✓ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +22 (116-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 41 | 14-25 | 4-7 | 6-8 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 24 | - |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 38 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Desmond Bane * | 38 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Jalen Suggs * | 35 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jamal Cain * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Black | 32 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jevon Carter | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Moritz Wagner | 9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Tristan da Silva | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 39 | 10-18 | 4-6 | 8-10 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 25 | - |
| Jalen Duren * | 37 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 36 | 11-18 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 26 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 35 | 4-13 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 33 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Daniss Jenkins | 28 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Javonte Green | 14 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Isaiah Stewart | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Paul Reed | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marcus Sasser | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tolu Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chaz Lanier | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter