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2026-01-11

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 16.8% 83.2% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 18.4% 81.6% - βœ“
Margin 21.3% 78.7% +7.2 βœ“ (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 38.9% 61.1% - βœ“
Efficiency 23.9% 76.1% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 26.0% 74.0% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 25.9% 74.1% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 28.8% 71.2% - βœ“

Actual: Orlando Magic +10 (128-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Murphy III * 37 8-15 3-7 2-2 7 6 0 0 3 21 16 -
Zion Williamson * 31 9-14 0-0 4-5 3 3 2 1 1 22 16 -
Jeremiah Fears * 28 7-12 2-3 0-0 4 3 2 0 2 16 11 -
Derik Queen * 27 4-8 0-0 2-3 3 6 2 2 4 10 11 -
Bryce McGowens * 26 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 6 6 -
Jordan Poole 22 7-11 6-8 1-2 0 2 1 0 4 21 9 -
Micah Peavy 19 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 2 0 -
Yves Missi 18 3-4 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 4 0 7 12 -
Karlo Matković 18 4-4 1-1 2-2 0 1 0 2 0 11 10 -
Jordan Hawkins 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 39 7-16 0-2 9-10 8 8 1 1 4 23 21 -
Noah Penda * 37 2-6 2-3 3-4 6 2 1 0 0 9 12 -
Anthony Black * 36 9-10 3-4 5-7 5 7 3 0 4 26 27 -
Desmond Bane * 35 9-18 1-4 8-8 5 4 2 0 3 27 17 -
Goga Bitadze * 32 7-10 0-1 0-0 13 1 3 2 0 14 23 -
Tristan da Silva 18 4-7 4-5 4-4 0 1 0 0 0 16 10 -
Tyus Jones 11 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Moritz Wagner 9 3-7 0-2 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 8 5 -
Jonathan Isaac 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jase Richardson 7 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Jamal Cain 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter