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2025-11-08

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 42.7% 57.3% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 54.3% 45.7% - βœ—
Margin 68.0% 32.0% -4.1 βœ— (17.1 off)
Pythagorean 54.2% 45.8% - βœ—
Efficiency 71.3% 28.7% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 65.4% 34.6% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 65.4% 34.6% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 56.4% 43.6% - βœ—

Actual: Orlando Magic +13 (123-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 37 7-16 1-6 1-1 2 10 3 1 1 16 15 -
Jaylen Brown * 36 15-28 1-6 1-2 9 3 1 0 4 32 13 -
Payton Pritchard * 31 8-16 5-8 6-8 2 4 1 0 3 27 15 -
Neemias Queta * 30 2-8 0-0 1-2 8 2 1 2 0 5 10 -
Josh Minott * 25 4-7 2-4 2-2 8 1 1 0 2 12 13 -
Sam Hauser 20 1-6 1-5 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 3 4 -
Jordan Walsh 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 6 0 1 1 2 2 5 -
Anfernee Simons 17 4-8 3-6 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 11 7 -
Luka Garza 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 3 0 2 2 -
Hugo GonzΓ‘lez 8 0-0 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 0 1 0 4 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 37 9-18 2-7 7-7 6 6 0 1 3 27 19 -
Paolo Banchero * 36 4-10 1-3 6-8 9 4 1 1 2 15 18 -
Desmond Bane * 36 8-15 2-5 4-5 6 7 1 2 1 22 22 -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 31 5-10 2-4 6-7 5 1 2 0 3 18 13 -
Jalen Suggs * 20 5-8 4-6 0-0 3 5 0 0 3 14 11 -
Anthony Black 32 5-11 2-5 1-2 4 4 4 1 1 13 14 -
Tristan da Silva 17 4-8 3-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 11 5 -
Goga Bitadze 15 0-1 0-0 0-2 7 1 0 2 1 0 8 -
Tyus Jones 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jonathan Isaac 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -

* = starter