Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.0% | 59.0% | +0.3 | ✗ (4.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.2% | 40.8% | -4.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -4 (107-111). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick White * | 36 | 7-18 | 3-9 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | -0.9 |
| Jaylen Brown * | 33 | 10-24 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 7 | -16.0 |
| Payton Pritchard * | 33 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +3.7 |
| Neemias Queta * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +1.5 |
| Josh Minott * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -16.3 |
| Jordan Walsh | 25 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | +13.3 |
| Anfernee Simons | 22 | 8-13 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 14 | +8.5 |
| Sam Hauser | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +6.3 |
| Luka Garza | 17 | 7-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 19 | +9.7 |
| Hugo González | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +19.0 |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner * | 37 | 5-17 | 1-4 | 9-10 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | +6.0 |
| Desmond Bane * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +11.4 |
| Paolo Banchero * | 34 | 9-16 | 0-5 | 10-10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 16 | +5.1 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 31 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 6 | -3.1 |
| Jalen Suggs * | 28 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 24 | +21.1 |
| Tristan da Silva | 22 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | -1.6 |
| Anthony Black | 19 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -25.5 |
| Goga Bitadze | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -6.1 |
| Tyus Jones | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -13.9 |
| Jonathan Isaac | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -13.0 |
| Noah Penda | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter