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2025-11-09

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 51.6% 48.4% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 49.8% 50.2% - βœ—
Margin 67.6% 32.4% -4.0 βœ“ (0.0 off)
Pythagorean 55.3% 44.7% - βœ“
Efficiency 69.3% 30.7% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 63.9% 36.1% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 63.9% 36.1% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 55.0% 45.0% - βœ“

Actual: Orlando Magic -4 (107-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 36 7-18 3-9 4-6 3 4 3 0 2 21 11 -
Payton Pritchard * 33 2-8 1-6 0-0 5 5 0 0 3 5 4 -
Jaylen Brown * 33 10-24 1-4 6-7 5 1 1 1 4 27 7 -
Neemias Queta * 25 3-6 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 1 1 8 8 -
Josh Minott * 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
Jordan Walsh 25 2-3 2-2 0-0 6 4 2 0 0 6 15 -
Anfernee Simons 22 8-13 5-8 4-4 1 3 0 0 2 25 14 -
Luka Garza 17 7-8 0-1 2-4 8 3 1 0 1 16 19 -
Sam Hauser 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Hugo GonzΓ‘lez 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 3 5 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 37 5-17 1-4 9-10 9 3 2 0 2 20 15 -
Desmond Bane * 35 4-9 0-1 1-1 5 6 0 0 1 9 10 -
Paolo Banchero * 34 9-16 0-5 10-10 6 4 0 0 6 28 16 -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 31 4-10 2-6 2-2 4 1 1 1 3 12 6 -
Jalen Suggs * 28 6-8 2-4 6-7 8 4 3 0 3 20 24 -
Tristan da Silva 22 4-9 2-5 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 12 8 -
Anthony Black 19 2-7 0-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 4 0 -
Goga Bitadze 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 3 0 2 7 -
Tyus Jones 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
Jonathan Isaac 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Noah Penda 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter