Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.7% | 77.3% | +6.5 | ✗ (17.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.4% | 66.6% | +7.6 | ✗ (18.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -11 (101-112). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Suggs * | 36 | 6-16 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | +16.3 |
| Paolo Banchero * | 36 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 19 | +13.2 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 36 | 8-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 23 | +21.3 |
| Desmond Bane * | 34 | 7-20 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | +17.3 |
| Franz Wagner * | 32 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 14 | +12.0 |
| Anthony Black | 22 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +0.1 |
| Tristan da Silva | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +4.1 |
| Goga Bitadze | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -6.6 |
| Jamal Cain | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -4.1 |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 40 | 13-27 | 3-8 | 10-11 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 39 | 18 | -1.6 |
| Tobias Harris * | 35 | 5-15 | 1-7 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | -16.2 |
| Jalen Duren * | 32 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -19.8 |
| Duncan Robinson * | 26 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | -14.7 |
| Ausar Thompson * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -6.7 |
| Daniss Jenkins | 22 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 3-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -9.4 |
| Kevin Huerter | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +6.9 |
| Isaiah Stewart | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +3.5 |
| Ronald Holland II | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -5.1 |
| Caris LeVert | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +0.9 |
| Javonte Green | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +3.5 |
* = starter