Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.6% | 74.4% | +4.2 | ✗ (7.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.1% | 79.9% | +7.6 | ✗ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -3 (109-112). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 39 | 13-25 | 0-5 | 11-12 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 23 | - |
| Franz Wagner * | 35 | 8-19 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Jalen Suggs * | 33 | 4-17 | 2-11 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 32 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Tristan da Silva * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Black | 31 | 6-17 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Tyus Jones | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Goga Bitadze | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jonathan Isaac | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 39 | 13-26 | 4-7 | 9-12 | 13 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 39 | 29 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 35 | 3-12 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Jalen Duren * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 29 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Caris LeVert | 23 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Isaiah Stewart | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jaden Ivey | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Javonte Green | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Daniss Jenkins | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Paul Reed | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter