Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | β |
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +1.4 | β (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | β |
Actual: Orlando Magic -4 (107-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 33 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Trae Young * | 33 | 7-18 | 1-6 | 10-12 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 30 | 8-18 | 1-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Johnson * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 29 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| VΓt KrejΔΓ | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Keaton Wallace | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| N'Faly Dante | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Asa Newell | 3 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 35 | 4-15 | 0-5 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Franz Wagner * | 35 | 10-17 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 15 | - |
| Desmond Bane * | 33 | 5-14 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 31 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 6-11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Jalen Suggs * | 19 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Tristan da Silva | 24 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Anthony Black | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Tyus Jones | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Goga Bitadze | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Jett Howard | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jonathan Isaac | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter