Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.5% | 64.5% | +2.0 | ✓ (14.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.6% | 59.4% | +4.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +16 (114-98). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 39 | 13-21 | 2-5 | 9-13 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 37 | 28 | -11.6 |
| Desmond Bane * | 38 | 7-17 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 8 | -12.4 |
| Anthony Black * | 37 | 6-14 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | -12.7 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 33 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | -10.1 |
| Jalen Suggs * | 27 | 2-13 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Tyus Jones | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | +2.2 |
| Noah Penda | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Moritz Wagner | 12 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | -3.7 |
| Tristan da Silva | 9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -1.3 |
| Jonathan Isaac | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Jase Richardson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.8 |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 35 | 15-25 | 5-8 | 10-12 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 45 | 25 | +22.1 |
| Jaylon Tyson * | 34 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 16 | +7.5 |
| Evan Mobley * | 34 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 16 | +3.4 |
| Jarrett Allen * | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +17.6 |
| Dean Wade * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | +19.0 |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 23 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -6.7 |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | +3.4 |
| Tyrese Proctor | 14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | +2.2 |
| Lonzo Ball | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.3 |
* = starter