Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.0% | 26.0% | -5.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -2 (112-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 32 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 31 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 29 | 11-20 | 3-7 | 6-9 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 14 | - |
| Luke Kornet * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 27 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 24 | 5-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 22 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Jeremy Sochan | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 5 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| David Jones Garcia | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 37 | 6-15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Franz Wagner * | 35 | 9-17 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 28 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Suggs * | 27 | 10-20 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Tristan da Silva * | 25 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Black | 27 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Goga Bitadze | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Jase Richardson | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Jonathan Isaac | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tyus Jones | 6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Noah Penda | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter