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Atlanta Dream

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Atlanta Dream
Program History

2025 Team Stats (47 games)

83.8
PPG
76.8
Opp
+7.0
Margin
44.2%
FG%
33.5%
3P%
78.1%
FT%
36.4
RPG
21.3
APG
11.3
TO
78.6
Est. poss./game
81.8
Adj PPG
75.9
Adj Opp PPG
#2
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1175 (#2) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1100 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +50 elo More → 1092 (#2) HCA +50 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → +6.1 (#2) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → +7.3 (#2) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.731 (#2) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.8 More → 0.710 (#2) AdjNet +7.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.8 More → 0.711 (#2) AdjNet +7.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.8 | AdjD 75.9 More → 0.633 (#2) AdjO 81.8 | AdjD 75.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 81.1 | AdjD 74.4 More → 0.647 (#2) AdjO 81.1 | AdjD 74.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.686 (#2) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.689 (#2) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 112 | GP 47 More → 1127 (#2) RD 112 | GP 47

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-05-16 @ Washington Mystics L 90 - 94
2025-05-20 @ Indiana Fever W 91 - 90
2025-05-22 vs Indiana Fever L 76 - 81
2025-05-24 vs Dallas Wings W 83 - 75
2025-05-25 vs Connecticut Sun W 79 - 55
2025-05-27 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 88 - 82
2025-05-30 @ Seattle Storm W 94 - 87
2025-06-06 @ Connecticut Sun L 76 - 84
2025-06-10 vs Indiana Fever W 77 - 58
2025-06-13 vs Chicago Sky W 88 - 70
2025-06-15 @ Washington Mystics W 89 - 56
2025-06-17 @ New York Liberty L 81 - 86
2025-06-20 vs Washington Mystics W 92 - 91
2025-06-22 vs Chicago Sky W 93 - 80
2025-06-24 @ Dallas Wings L 55 - 68
2025-06-27 vs Minnesota Lynx L 92 - 96
2025-06-29 vs New York Liberty W 90 - 81
2025-07-03 vs Seattle Storm L 79 - 80
2025-07-07 vs Golden State Valkyries W 90 - 81
2025-07-11 @ Indiana Fever L 82 - 99
2025-07-13 @ New York Liberty L 72 - 79
2025-07-16 @ Chicago Sky W 86 - 49
2025-07-22 @ Las Vegas Aces L 72 - 87
2025-07-23 @ Phoenix Mercury W 90 - 79
2025-07-27 @ Minnesota Lynx W 90 - 86
2025-07-29 vs Golden State Valkyries L 75 - 77
2025-07-30 @ Dallas Wings W 88 - 85
2025-08-01 vs Phoenix Mercury W 95 - 72
2025-08-03 vs Washington Mystics W 99 - 83
2025-08-07 @ Chicago Sky W 86 - 65
2025-08-10 @ Phoenix Mercury W 74 - 66
2025-08-13 @ Seattle Storm W 85 - 75
2025-08-15 vs Seattle Storm L 78 - 80
2025-08-17 @ Golden State Valkyries W 79 - 63
2025-08-19 @ Las Vegas Aces L 72 - 74
2025-08-21 vs Minnesota Lynx W 75 - 73
2025-08-23 vs New York Liberty W 78 - 62
2025-08-27 vs Las Vegas Aces L 75 - 81
2025-08-29 vs Dallas Wings W 100 - 78
2025-09-01 @ Connecticut Sun W 93 - 76
2025-09-03 vs Los Angeles Sparks W 86 - 75
2025-09-05 vs Los Angeles Sparks W 104 - 85
2025-09-08 vs Connecticut Sun W 87 - 62
2025-09-10 @ Connecticut Sun W 88 - 72
2025-09-14 vs Indiana Fever W 80 - 68
2025-09-16 @ Indiana Fever L 60 - 77
2025-09-18 vs Indiana Fever L 85 - 87

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Allisha Gray Allisha Gray G 47 33.9 17.7 5.5 3.4 1.1 0.4 1.7 13.0 13.4 - - - - 43.9 36.9 80.2 - 58.0 52.2
Rhyne Howard Rhyne Howard G 38 34.3 17.0 4.2 4.3 1.5 0.8 1.7 14.9 11.3 - - - - 37.1 31.8 85.0 - 51.8 47.2
Brionna Jones Brionna Jones F 49 26.3 12.5 7.0 2.2 1.1 0.8 1.5 9.5 12.6 - - - - 53.2 28.0 77.2 - 58.5 54.7
Jordin Canada Jordin Canada G 32 27.1 10.6 3.1 5.6 1.6 0.3 2.1 9.4 9.6 - - - - 39.4 28.1 72.8 - 48.7 43.5
B. Griner B. Griner C 44 19.6 9.4 4.9 0.9 0.1 1.1 1.5 7.5 7.6 - - - - 51.8 36.4 76.1 - 56.6 53.0
Naz Hillmon Naz Hillmon F 49 25.7 8.6 6.2 2.3 0.5 0.5 1.2 6.8 10.1 - - - - 45.7 31.7 82.9 - 57.7 54.3
Te-Hina Paopao Te-Hina Paopao G 48 16.5 6.0 1.6 2.3 0.5 0.2 1.0 5.2 4.5 - - - - 45.2 38.4 53.3 - 57.0 56.9
Maya Caldwell Maya Caldwell G 46 17.9 5.0 3.0 1.7 0.8 0.2 1.0 4.6 5.1 - - - - 41.4 34.2 80.0 - 52.8 51.2
Nia Coffey Nia Coffey F 49 10.3 3.8 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.4 0.6 3.3 4.2 - - - - 36.8 30.0 74.5 - 50.2 45.1
Haley Jones Haley Jones G 2 9.0 3.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 2.5 1.5 - - - - 40.0 50.0 100.0 - 59.5 50.0
Ashley Joens Ashley Joens G 2 8.0 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.5 - - - - 16.7 25.0 100.0 - 36.3 25.0
Maria Gakdeng Maria Gakdeng - 1 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough Shatori Walker-Kimbrough G 45 8.9 1.9 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.4 1.6 2.1 - - - - 40.8 37.1 82.4 - 54.2 50.0
Taylor Thierry Taylor Thierry F 20 3.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.8 - - - - 29.4 40.0 33.3 - 35.6 35.3
Sika Koné Sika Koné F 10 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 29.6 0.0
Kamiah Smalls Kamiah Smalls - 3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Shyanne Sellers Shyanne Sellers - 1 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -3.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Emani Jefferson Emani Jefferson - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2025 Shot Zones

3317 located field-goal attempts in 49 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Jones28% Griner22% Griner38% Howard35% Howard29% Caldwell31% Paopao36% Howard29% Gray28% Howard29%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Jones24% Gray19% Griner33% Howard21% Griner36% Hillmon28% Paopao25% Howard28% Howard28% Howard26%
Misses: who misses most here

Allisha GrayRhyne HowardBrionna JonesNaz HillmonB. GrinerTe-Hina PaopaoMaya Caldwell

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 623-1011 61.6 1246 Brionna Jones 28% (344 pts) Allisha Gray 16% (204 pts) Brionna Jones 24% (93 misses) Allisha Gray 17% (65 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 283-677 41.8 566 B. Griner 22% (126 pts) Brionna Jones 19% (108 pts) Allisha Gray 19% (76 misses) B. Griner 17% (68 misses)
Mid-range left 37-94 39.4 74 B. Griner 38% (28 pts) Rhyne Howard 22% (16 pts) B. Griner 33% (19 misses) Allisha Gray 25% (14 misses)
Mid-range center 23-75 30.7 46 Rhyne Howard 35% (16 pts) Brionna Jones 17% (8 pts) Rhyne Howard 21% (11 misses) Allisha Gray 17% (9 misses)
Mid-range right 35-90 38.9 70 Rhyne Howard 29% (20 pts) B. Griner 26% (18 pts) B. Griner 36% (20 misses) Rhyne Howard 16% (9 misses)
Left corner 3 36-89 40.4 108 Maya Caldwell 31% (33 pts) Shatori Walker-Kimbrough 17% (18 pts) Naz Hillmon 28% (15 misses) Maya Caldwell 21% (11 misses)
Right corner 3 14-42 33.3 42 Te-Hina Paopao 36% (15 pts) Maya Caldwell 14% (6 pts) Te-Hina Paopao 25% (7 misses) Maya Caldwell 21% (6 misses)
Above-break 3 left 173-502 34.5 519 Rhyne Howard 29% (153 pts) Allisha Gray 21% (111 pts) Rhyne Howard 28% (91 misses) Allisha Gray 19% (62 misses)
Above-break 3 center 88-265 33.2 264 Allisha Gray 28% (75 pts) Naz Hillmon 20% (54 pts) Rhyne Howard 28% (50 misses) Naz Hillmon 20% (35 misses)
Above-break 3 right 152-472 32.2 456 Rhyne Howard 29% (132 pts) Allisha Gray 24% (111 pts) Rhyne Howard 26% (82 misses) Allisha Gray 23% (73 misses)