Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.9% | 53.1% | +0.7 | ✓ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +15 (87-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Canada | 37 | 4-13 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 5 | - |
| A. Gray | 36 | 7-16 | 5-11 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 15 | - |
| B. Griner | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| B. Jones | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| S. Walker-Kimbrough | 23 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 23 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Caldwell | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Paopao | 12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| N. Coffey | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Thierry | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Wilson | 31 | 9-18 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 26 | - |
| C. Gray | 30 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Loyd | 29 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| J. Young | 24 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| D. Evans | 23 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| N. Smith | 22 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 18 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Nye | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Stokes | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Bell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter