Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | +3.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +2 (75-73). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanna Smith * | 36 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Bridget Carleton * | 35 | 5-13 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Kayla McBride * | 33 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Jessica Shepard * | 32 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Courtney Williams * | 27 | 3-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 14 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| DiJonai Carrington | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Maria Kliundikova | 9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jaylyn Sherrod | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 36 | 5-20 | 2-11 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Naz Hillmon * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 30 | 10-21 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Te-Hina Paopao * | 30 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 17 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Brittney Griner | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter