Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.2% | 31.8% | -8.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -11 (79-90). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray * | 37 | 10-16 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 24 | - |
| Jordin Canada * | 35 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 25 | 8-12 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Maya Caldwell * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 25 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 21 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Te-Hina Paopao | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Thomas * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb * | 27 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Kahleah Copper * | 21 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Satou Sabally * | 20 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Kathryn Westbeld * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 25 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Natasha Mack | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Kitija Laksa | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Lexi Held | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kalani Brown | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter