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2025-07-23

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 50.2% 49.8% -
Bradley-Terry 46.8% 53.2% -
Margin 52.6% 47.4% -0.6 (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 53.7% 46.3% -
Efficiency 68.6% 31.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.8% 38.2% -
Log Adjusted 61.8% 38.2% -
Points Off/Def 50.2% 49.8% -

Actual: Phoenix Mercury -11 (79-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Gray 37 10-16 3-5 5-6 7 6 1 0 2 28 24 -
J. Canada 36 5-14 1-4 3-4 3 6 1 0 3 14 7 -
N. Hillmon 26 4-7 1-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 9 6 -
B. Griner 26 8-12 0-2 1-1 8 1 0 0 2 17 12 -
B. Jones 24 3-7 1-1 1-2 6 4 0 3 0 8 14 -
S. Walker-Kimbrough 22 3-4 3-4 2-2 1 1 1 1 0 11 11 -
M. Caldwell 21 1-4 1-3 0-0 6 4 2 0 1 3 10 -
N. Coffey 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
T. Paopao 4 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Thomas 34 3-8 0-0 1-4 11 9 0 0 4 7 15 -
S. Whitcomb 28 4-12 3-8 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 11 4 -
D. Bonner 25 5-11 2-5 6-7 2 1 0 1 0 18 11 -
K. Copper 22 4-11 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 10 -1 -
S. Sabally 21 4-10 3-7 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 13 4 -
N. Mack 19 2-3 0-0 4-4 7 3 1 2 0 8 18 -
K. Westbeld 18 1-5 0-2 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 3 2 -
K. Laksa 12 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
L. Held 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
K. Brown 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 5 -

* = starter