Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.3% | 83.7% | +18.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +24 (79-55). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Mabrey * | 34 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 29 | 5-20 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Saniya Rivers * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jacy Sheldon * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Bria Hartley | 19 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Robyn Parks | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kariata Diaby | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Aneesah Morrow | 10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Haley Peters | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rayah Marshall | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Caldwell * | 36 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 33 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Rhyne Howard * | 31 | 4-17 | 1-10 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Nia Coffey * | 26 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 29 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Taylor Thierry | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter