Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.0% | 96.0% | +17.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +24 (79-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mabrey | 34 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| T. Charles | 30 | 5-20 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -1 | - |
| S. Rivers | 28 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Sheldon | 23 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| B. Hartley | 19 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| R. Parks | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Morrow | 11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| K. Diaby | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| H. Peters | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Marshall | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Caldwell | 36 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| A. Gray | 33 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| R. Howard | 31 | 4-17 | 1-10 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 29 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| B. Jones | 27 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | - |
| N. Coffey | 26 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| S. Walker-Kimbrough | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. Thierry | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter