Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.8% | 45.2% | -1.1 | ✗ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty +5 (86-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Howard | 39 | 3-14 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 17 | - |
| A. Gray | 36 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| B. Jones | 27 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| J. Canada | 25 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| B. Griner | 23 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 22 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Paopao | 15 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| N. Coffey | 10 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Caldwell | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Walker-Kimbrough | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ionescu | 38 | 12-20 | 4-8 | 6-8 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 26 | - |
| B. Stewart | 36 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| N. Cloud | 29 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Jones | 25 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| M. Johannes | 19 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Sabally | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| K. Burke | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Sherrod | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Gardner | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| I. Harrison | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter