Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.8% | 46.2% | -1.7 | ✗ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty +5 (86-81). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 39 | 3-14 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 35 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 27 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jordin Canada * | 24 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 23 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 22 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Te-Hina Paopao | 15 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 9 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabrina Ionescu * | 38 | 12-20 | 4-8 | 6-8 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 26 | - |
| Breanna Stewart * | 36 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Natasha Cloud * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jonquel Jones * | 25 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Nyara Sabally * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Marine Johannès | 19 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kennedy Burke | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jaylyn Sherrod | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rebekah Gardner | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Isabelle Harrison | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter