Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Golden State Valkyries | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.2% | 39.8% | -2.3 | ✓ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Valkyries -16 (63-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Howard | 37 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| A. Gray | 32 | 3-13 | 2-10 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| T. Paopao | 29 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 26 | 5-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| B. Jones | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| M. Caldwell | 18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| B. Griner | 15 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| N. Coffey | 14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Thierry | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Kone | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Walker-Kimbrough | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Golden State Valkyries
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Zandalasini | 31 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| V. Burton | 31 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| J. Salaun | 29 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| T. Hayes | 28 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| K. Martin | 21 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| C. Leite | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. Amihere | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| T. Fagbenle | 14 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| I. Rupert | 12 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Charles | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Chen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter