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2025-08-17

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Golden State Valkyries Spread Result
Elo 30.9% 69.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 39.4% 60.6% - ✗
Margin 47.2% 52.8% +1.3 ✗ (17.3 off)
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 49.0% 51.0% - ✗
Log Adjusted 49.1% 50.9% - ✗
Points Off/Def 47.1% 52.9% - ✗

Actual: Golden State Valkyries -16 (63-79). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rhyne Howard * 36 5-10 4-8 0-0 5 6 0 1 2 14 14 -
Allisha Gray * 32 3-13 2-10 5-6 3 4 2 0 3 13 6 -
Naz Hillmon * 26 5-12 0-6 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 12 6 -
Brionna Jones * 22 3-6 0-0 7-8 9 2 1 0 2 13 17 -
Maya Caldwell * 17 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 4 2 0 1 5 9 -
Te-Hina Paopao 29 4-8 2-5 0-0 2 4 1 0 0 10 9 -
Brittney Griner 15 4-7 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 1 1 8 8 -
Nia Coffey 13 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 1 0 4 5 -
Taylor Thierry 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Sika Koné 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Golden State Valkyries

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cecilia Zandalasini * 30 3-10 2-5 3-3 4 2 0 0 0 11 7 -
Veronica Burton * 30 4-10 1-5 7-7 1 5 2 0 1 16 13 -
Tiffany Hayes * 28 1-9 1-5 1-2 0 3 2 0 1 4 -1 -
Janelle Salaün * 28 2-7 1-4 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 5 4 -
Temi Fágbénlé * 14 4-9 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 8 2 -
Kate Martin 21 3-6 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 7 2 -
Carla Leite 16 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 2 4 -
Laeticia Amihere 13 3-4 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 2 1 7 11 -
Iliana Rupert 11 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 3 3 -
Kaila Charles 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kaitlyn Chen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter