Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.0% | 10.0% | -12.1 | ✓ (24.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.0% | 9.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Sky -37 (49-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Caldwell | 29 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Gray | 26 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 6-6 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 23 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Canada | 23 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| T. Paopao | 21 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| B. Jones | 20 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| B. Griner | 20 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| N. Coffey | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Walker-Kimbrough | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Thierry | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Cardoso | 30 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 4 | - |
| R. Banham | 26 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Westbeld | 25 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| E. Williams | 25 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| K. Nurse | 22 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| H. Van Lith | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Jefferson | 21 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| R. Allen | 19 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -2 | - |
| M. Onyenwere | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter