Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.4% | 9.6% | -12.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -16 (72-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Paopao | 31 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Caldwell | 29 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 27 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| R. Howard | 27 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 12 | - |
| B. Griner | 21 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| A. Gray | 20 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| B. Jones | 16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| N. Coffey | 15 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Canada | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| S. Walker-Kimbrough | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Kone | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mabrey | 36 | 8-15 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 10 | - |
| S. Rivers | 36 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| L. Allen | 33 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| A. Morrow | 32 | 3-14 | 0-4 | 5-8 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| A. Edwards | 23 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| T. Charles | 19 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| M. Toure | 13 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| H. Peters | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Marshall | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter