Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.2% | 21.8% | -14.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -16 (72-88). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Te-Hina Paopao * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Naz Hillmon * | 27 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Rhyne Howard * | 27 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 20 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 28 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Brittney Griner | 21 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 14 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jordin Canada | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sika Koné | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Mabrey * | 36 | 8-15 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Saniya Rivers * | 36 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Lindsay Allen * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Aneesah Morrow * | 31 | 3-14 | 0-4 | 5-8 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 18 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Aaliyah Edwards | 22 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Mamignan Touré | 13 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Rayah Marshall | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Haley Peters | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter