Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.6% | 59.4% | +4.2 | ✗ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -6 (75-81). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Young * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 20 | - |
| A'ja Wilson * | 34 | 13-21 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 27 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 32 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Kierstan Bell * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jewell Loyd | 32 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Dana Evans | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Aaliyah Nye | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 38 | 7-22 | 2-10 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 36 | 6-17 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Naz Hillmon * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 21 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 29 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Te-Hina Paopao * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Brittney Griner | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter