Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.4 | ✗ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -6 (75-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Wilson | 35 | 13-21 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 27 | - |
| J. Young | 35 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 20 | - |
| J. Loyd | 33 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| C. Gray | 33 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| K. Bell | 21 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Evans | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Smith | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Stokes | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Nye | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Howard | 38 | 7-22 | 2-10 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 10 | - |
| A. Gray | 37 | 6-17 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 3 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 34 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 21 | - |
| B. Jones | 30 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| T. Paopao | 24 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Caldwell | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Griner | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| N. Coffey | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter