Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.4% | 71.6% | +5.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -5 (76-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Clark | 32 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| N. Howard | 29 | 12-17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 17 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 28 | 7-19 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 0 | - |
| L. Hull | 27 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| A. Boston | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| D. Bonner | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - |
| D. Dantas | 17 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| S. Colson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Howard | 37 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | - |
| B. Jones | 33 | 4-13 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| A. Gray | 31 | 4-13 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| T. Paopao | 30 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| B. Griner | 25 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| N. Coffey | 17 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Caldwell | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Walker-Kimbrough | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter