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2025-08-13

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 58.5% 41.5% -
Bradley-Terry 53.3% 46.7% -
Margin 57.0% 43.0% -1.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 54.0% 46.0% -
Efficiency 69.3% 30.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.3% 33.7% -
Log Adjusted 66.4% 33.6% -
Points Off/Def 52.4% 47.6% -

Actual: Seattle Storm -10 (75-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Gray 39 8-14 3-6 3-7 11 1 1 0 3 22 18 -
R. Howard 38 8-18 5-12 4-4 1 7 2 0 3 25 14 -
N. Hillmon 35 3-6 1-3 0-0 8 5 1 0 1 7 14 -
M. Caldwell 34 4-5 2-3 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 10 12 -
B. Jones 21 4-9 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 8 2 -
B. Griner 18 3-7 1-1 4-4 8 1 0 1 2 11 12 -
T. Paopao 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 2 2 -
N. Coffey 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Walker-Kimbrough 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Ogwumike 36 13-23 1-6 2-2 9 4 1 0 0 29 20 -
B. Sykes 33 2-10 0-0 3-4 5 2 0 0 2 7 2 -
G. Williams 32 5-10 0-1 1-3 4 6 1 1 0 11 13 -
E. Magbegor 31 3-6 1-2 1-4 3 2 2 2 1 8 10 -
Diggins-Smith 31 3-9 1-2 0-0 1 4 1 0 0 7 4 -
E. Wheeler 15 2-9 2-5 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 6 3 -
D. Malonga 13 2-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 -2 -
T. Mitchell 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -

* = starter