Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.4% | 71.6% | +5.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +12 (80-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Hull | 36 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | - |
| A. Boston | 34 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 33 | 9-18 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 14 | - |
| O. Sims | 31 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| N. Howard | 24 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Powers | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| B. Turner | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| S. Peddy | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Timpson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Hall | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gray | 35 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 9-10 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 33 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 23 | - |
| R. Howard | 32 | 6-17 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| B. Jones | 31 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| J. Canada | 25 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Caldwell | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| B. Griner | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| N. Coffey | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Paopao | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Walker-Kimbrough | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Kone | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter