Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.5% | 59.5% | +4.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +12 (80-68). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexie Hull * | 35 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Aliyah Boston * | 33 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 33 | 9-18 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 14 | - |
| Odyssey Sims * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Natasha Howard * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Brianna Turner | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Shey Peddy | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bree Hall | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Makayla Timpson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray * | 34 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 9-10 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Naz Hillmon * | 33 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Rhyne Howard * | 31 | 6-17 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Jordin Canada * | 24 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Brittney Griner | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Te-Hina Paopao | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Sika Koné | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter