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2025-09-14

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 41.8% 58.2% -
Bradley-Terry 38.0% 62.0% -
Margin 28.4% 71.6% +5.1 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% -
Efficiency 33.4% 66.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.3% 64.7% -
Log Adjusted 35.4% 64.6% -
Points Off/Def 38.2% 61.8% -

Actual: Atlanta Dream +12 (80-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Hull 36 3-13 1-5 2-2 4 1 0 0 2 9 -1 -
A. Boston 34 3-9 0-2 2-2 12 5 0 0 1 8 15 -
K. Mitchell 33 9-18 1-4 8-9 1 4 0 1 1 27 14 -
O. Sims 31 3-7 0-2 4-4 3 3 2 0 1 10 10 -
N. Howard 24 2-7 0-1 1-2 6 1 1 1 4 5 3 -
A. Powers 17 1-4 0-1 3-6 0 0 2 0 2 5 1 -
B. Turner 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 0 5 -
S. Peddy 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Timpson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
B. Hall 2 1-1 0-0 2-4 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Gray 35 5-16 1-5 9-10 6 4 3 1 2 20 16 -
N. Hillmon 33 5-7 2-4 4-5 9 3 1 3 2 16 23 -
R. Howard 32 6-17 4-10 4-4 6 2 1 0 1 20 11 -
B. Jones 31 5-7 0-0 2-2 5 3 3 0 2 12 14 -
J. Canada 25 1-8 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 2 2 1 -
M. Caldwell 21 2-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 1 2 4 0 -
B. Griner 8 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
N. Coffey 7 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
T. Paopao 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
S. Walker-Kimbrough 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
S. Kone 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter