Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.5% | 59.5% | +4.2 | ✗ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -2 (85-87). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 35 | 7-16 | 3-6 | 7-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 10 | - |
| Aliyah Boston * | 33 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Lexie Hull * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Odyssey Sims * | 27 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Natasha Howard * | 24 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Brianna Turner | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Shey Peddy | 10 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Makayla Timpson | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 39 | 7-18 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Naz Hillmon * | 39 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 33 | 9-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Jordin Canada * | 32 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 32 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Te-Hina Paopao | 9 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Brittney Griner | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter