Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.1% | 90.9% | +12.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +16 (99-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Citron | 33 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| S. Austin | 29 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 7 | - |
| K. Iriafen | 27 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - |
| B. Sykes | 26 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Sutton | 26 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 6 | - |
| J. Melbourne | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Olsen | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Dolson | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Engstler | 10 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Edwards | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Hillmon | 36 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 17 | - |
| J. Canada | 36 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 11 | - |
| A. Gray | 35 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 20 | - |
| T. Paopao | 33 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| B. Jones | 26 | 9-10 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 18 | - |
| N. Coffey | 17 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| M. Caldwell | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Walker-Kimbrough | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Smalls | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Thierry | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter