Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.9% | 69.1% | +8.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +16 (99-83). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonia Citron * | 32 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Shakira Austin * | 29 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Brittney Sykes * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Kiki Iriafen * | 26 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Sug Sutton * | 25 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Jade Melbourne | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Lucy Olsen | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Stefanie Dolson | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Emily Engstler | 9 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Aaliyah Edwards | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordin Canada * | 36 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Naz Hillmon * | 35 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 35 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 26 | 9-10 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Maya Caldwell * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Te-Hina Paopao | 32 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 16 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kamiah Smalls | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Taylor Thierry | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter