Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.2% | 31.8% | -8.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -8 (66-74). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray * | 36 | 6-12 | 1-6 | 4-7 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Naz Hillmon * | 35 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Jordin Canada * | 25 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 25 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Te-Hina Paopao * | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 26 | 2-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Rhyne Howard | 16 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Brittney Griner | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Thomas * | 34 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Kahleah Copper * | 32 | 3-14 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Satou Sabally * | 29 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Natasha Mack * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Monique Akoa Makani * | 20 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 25 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Kathryn Westbeld | 15 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
* = starter