Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.4% | 9.6% | -12.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -17 (76-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Howard | 38 | 8-16 | 4-11 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 16 | - |
| A. Gray | 37 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 11-11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 36 | 6-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 22 | - |
| B. Jones | 30 | 4-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| T. Paopao | 20 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| J. Canada | 20 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| B. Griner | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| M. Caldwell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| N. Coffey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| S. Walker-Kimbrough | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Kone | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Charles | 36 | 10-20 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 8 | - |
| L. Lacan | 31 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14 | - |
| M. Mabrey | 30 | 5-14 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | - |
| S. Rivers | 28 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| L. Allen | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| A. Edwards | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Morrow | 20 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Toure | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Marshall | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter