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2025-09-01

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 77.3% 22.7% -
Bradley-Terry 76.6% 23.4% -
Margin 90.4% 9.6% -12.3 (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 80.5% 19.5% -
Efficiency 93.0% 7.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.4% 8.6% -
Log Adjusted 91.4% 8.6% -
Points Off/Def 74.2% 25.8% -

Actual: Connecticut Sun -17 (76-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Howard 38 8-16 4-11 3-3 4 3 2 0 0 23 16 -
A. Gray 37 3-12 0-4 11-11 5 1 0 0 2 17 9 -
N. Hillmon 36 6-8 5-7 0-0 6 6 0 1 0 17 22 -
B. Jones 30 4-14 0-2 2-2 11 1 2 1 1 10 10 -
T. Paopao 20 1-6 1-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 3 -1 -
J. Canada 20 6-9 0-1 3-3 0 1 1 1 1 15 8 -
B. Griner 10 2-4 0-0 3-3 4 1 0 0 0 7 8 -
M. Caldwell 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
N. Coffey 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
S. Walker-Kimbrough 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Kone 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Charles 36 10-20 0-2 2-2 8 1 0 0 3 22 8 -
L. Lacan 31 6-9 1-2 4-4 3 4 2 1 4 17 14 -
M. Mabrey 30 5-14 1-7 1-1 1 3 1 0 1 12 2 -
S. Rivers 28 4-7 0-2 2-2 2 2 2 0 0 10 9 -
L. Allen 23 1-2 0-0 3-4 2 5 0 0 1 5 9 -
A. Edwards 21 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 2 4 7 -
A. Morrow 20 3-8 0-4 0-1 5 1 1 1 0 6 6 -
M. Toure 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Marshall 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter