Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.6% | 62.4% | +5.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +9 (90-81). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart * | 34 | 7-18 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Natasha Cloud * | 33 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Sabrina Ionescu * | 32 | 5-15 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Nyara Sabally * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Rebekah Gardner * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Kennedy Burke | 23 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Isabelle Harrison | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Marine Johannès | 10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jaylyn Sherrod | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray * | 36 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Jordin Canada * | 32 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 32 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 28 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Rhyne Howard * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 25 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Te-Hina Paopao | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
* = starter