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2025-06-29

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 20.2% 79.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 31.2% 68.8% - ✓
Margin 37.6% 62.4% +5.6 ✓ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 38.0% 62.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 37.7% 62.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 38.1% 61.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 37.7% 62.3% - ✓

Actual: Atlanta Dream +9 (90-81). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Breanna Stewart * 34 7-18 1-6 6-7 9 4 2 2 3 21 17 -
Natasha Cloud * 33 8-12 2-3 2-2 4 6 1 0 2 20 17 -
Sabrina Ionescu * 32 5-15 3-7 1-1 4 3 0 0 5 14 1 -
Nyara Sabally * 24 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
Rebekah Gardner * 10 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 -
Kennedy Burke 23 4-10 1-6 2-3 0 1 3 0 0 11 5 -
Isabelle Harrison 21 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 8 9 -
Marine Johannès 10 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 6 -
Jaylyn Sherrod 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Allisha Gray * 36 8-14 2-4 2-2 9 6 0 0 4 20 17 -
Jordin Canada * 32 6-10 1-2 2-5 5 8 2 0 4 15 16 -
Brionna Jones * 32 8-14 0-1 5-6 6 3 1 2 1 21 18 -
Brittney Griner * 28 7-12 0-1 0-2 4 3 0 0 3 14 6 -
Rhyne Howard * 23 2-8 0-5 1-1 2 2 1 0 1 5 1 -
Naz Hillmon 25 4-7 1-4 1-2 4 3 1 0 0 10 11 -
Te-Hina Paopao 8 1-4 0-2 0-2 1 2 0 0 0 2 1 -
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 2 4 -
Nia Coffey 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 0 1 7 -

* = starter