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2025-07-07

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Valkyries Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 41.5% 58.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 47.8% 52.2% - ✓
Margin 44.0% 56.0% +2.7 ✓ (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 51.0% 49.0% - ✗
Log Adjusted 50.9% 49.1% - ✗
Points Off/Def 44.0% 56.0% - ✓

Actual: Atlanta Dream +9 (90-81). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Golden State Valkyries

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kayla Thornton * 33 5-14 2-7 3-3 6 3 1 0 1 15 10 -
Monique Billings * 28 7-12 1-3 4-4 6 1 1 0 2 19 13 -
Tiffany Hayes * 27 4-10 2-5 2-2 3 1 0 0 6 12 0 -
Veronica Burton * 26 4-7 3-4 0-0 3 7 1 0 4 11 11 -
Temi Fágbénlé * 24 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 4 0 0 -
Kate Martin 17 4-7 3-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 11 6 -
Laeticia Amihere 16 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 4 0 0 2 4 10 -
Kaitlyn Chen 14 3-5 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 7 1 -
Stephanie Talbot 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Janelle Salaün 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Allisha Gray * 35 8-14 3-7 5-5 1 4 2 1 4 24 14 -
Rhyne Howard * 34 5-14 3-8 2-2 4 4 2 0 1 15 10 -
Brionna Jones * 30 5-9 0-1 4-5 8 5 2 0 0 14 20 -
Jordin Canada * 26 2-8 0-3 3-4 4 9 3 0 1 7 14 -
Brittney Griner * 18 3-4 0-0 5-6 5 0 0 1 3 11 10 -
Naz Hillmon 31 5-11 4-7 2-2 6 1 1 1 0 16 14 -
Te-Hina Paopao 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Maya Caldwell 6 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Taylor Thierry 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Nia Coffey 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter