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2025-07-07

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Valkyries Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 19.3% 80.7% -
Bradley-Terry 31.5% 68.5% -
Margin 20.7% 79.3% +7.4 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.0% 62.0% -
Efficiency 20.9% 79.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.1% 73.9% -
Log Adjusted 26.0% 74.0% -
Points Off/Def 33.0% 67.0% -

Actual: Atlanta Dream +9 (90-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Valkyries

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Thornton 34 5-14 2-7 3-3 6 3 1 0 1 15 10 -
M. Billings 29 7-12 1-3 4-4 6 1 1 0 2 19 13 -
T. Hayes 27 4-10 2-5 2-2 3 1 0 0 6 12 0 -
V. Burton 26 4-7 3-4 0-0 3 7 1 0 4 11 11 -
T. Fagbenle 25 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 4 0 0 -
K. Martin 18 4-7 3-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 11 6 -
L. Amihere 17 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 4 0 0 2 4 10 -
K. Chen 15 3-5 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 7 1 -
S. Talbot 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Salaun 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Gray 35 8-14 3-7 5-5 1 4 2 1 4 24 14 -
R. Howard 34 5-14 3-8 2-2 4 4 2 0 1 15 10 -
N. Hillmon 31 5-11 4-7 2-2 6 1 1 1 0 16 14 -
B. Jones 30 5-9 0-1 4-5 8 5 2 0 0 14 20 -
J. Canada 26 2-8 0-3 3-4 4 9 3 0 1 7 14 -
B. Griner 18 3-4 0-0 5-6 5 0 0 1 3 11 10 -
T. Paopao 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Caldwell 6 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
S. Walker-Kimbrough 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Thierry 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
N. Coffey 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter