Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Valkyries | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.7% | 79.3% | +7.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +9 (90-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Valkyries
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Thornton | 34 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| M. Billings | 29 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| T. Hayes | 27 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 0 | - |
| V. Burton | 26 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | - |
| T. Fagbenle | 25 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Martin | 18 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| L. Amihere | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| K. Chen | 15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| S. Talbot | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Salaun | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gray | 35 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 14 | - |
| R. Howard | 34 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 31 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| B. Jones | 30 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 20 | - |
| J. Canada | 26 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| B. Griner | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| T. Paopao | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Caldwell | 6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| S. Walker-Kimbrough | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Thierry | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Coffey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter