Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.3% | 83.7% | +18.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +25 (87-62). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Mabrey * | 31 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Aneesah Morrow * | 30 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Saniya Rivers * | 29 | 7-17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Lindsay Allen * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 28 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Mamignan Touré | 20 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Aaliyah Edwards | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Haley Peters | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Rayah Marshall | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naz Hillmon * | 32 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Rhyne Howard * | 31 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Jordin Canada * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 19 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 19 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 23 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Te-Hina Paopao | 15 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Brittney Griner | 14 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Sika Koné | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter