Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.9% | 46.1% | -1.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -3 (85-88). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Te-Hina Paopao * | 36 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 35 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Maya Caldwell * | 29 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 26 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 29 | 7-9 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Taylor Thierry | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Bueckers * | 35 | 8-20 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Arike Ogunbowale * | 34 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Haley Jones * | 31 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Luisa Geiselsöder * | 24 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| JJ Quinerly * | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| DiJonai Carrington | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Li Yueru | 12 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Aziaha James | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter