Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.9% | 17.1% | -8.7 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -3 (85-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Paopao | 37 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| A. Gray | 35 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 30 | 7-9 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| M. Caldwell | 29 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| B. Jones | 27 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| B. Griner | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Walker-Kimbrough | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| N. Coffey | 8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| T. Thierry | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ogunbowale | 35 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| P. Bueckers | 35 | 8-20 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 11 | - |
| H. Jones | 31 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| L. Geiselsoder | 25 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| D. Carrington | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| JJ Quinerly | 16 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Hines-Allen | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| L. Yueru | 12 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| A. James | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter