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2025-08-23

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 25.0% 75.0% -
Bradley-Terry 37.9% 62.1% -
Margin 24.5% 75.5% +6.2 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% -
Efficiency 31.4% 68.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.7% 69.3% -
Log Adjusted 30.7% 69.3% -
Points Off/Def 36.0% 64.0% -

Actual: Atlanta Dream +16 (78-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jones 29 4-13 3-8 0-0 8 1 0 1 4 11 4 -
K. Burke 27 5-8 1-3 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 13 11 -
E. Meesseman 26 5-10 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 2 10 6 -
N. Cloud 25 2-6 0-2 3-4 3 1 2 1 3 7 5 -
L. Fiebich 24 2-5 1-2 3-4 2 3 0 0 0 8 8 -
M. Johannes 24 3-12 1-7 0-0 3 5 0 1 1 7 3 -
S. Talbot 22 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 2 4 -
R. Gardner 22 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 4 7 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Howard 37 4-15 1-10 0-0 8 6 2 0 0 9 10 -
A. Gray 32 7-13 4-8 1-3 4 2 0 0 1 19 11 -
N. Hillmon 27 5-13 1-5 0-0 8 4 0 0 1 11 9 -
B. Jones 25 7-11 0-2 3-5 8 2 1 0 0 17 17 -
M. Caldwell 25 2-6 1-3 2-2 7 0 2 0 0 7 10 -
T. Paopao 24 3-8 3-6 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 9 5 -
B. Griner 15 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
N. Coffey 13 1-6 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 -2 -
S. Walker-Kimbrough 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
S. Kone 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter