Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.5% | 92.5% | +13.8 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +8 (83-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ogunbowale | 33 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| P. Bueckers | 28 | 4-15 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| T. McCowan | 24 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| T. Harris | 24 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| M. Siegrist | 22 | 6-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| D. Carrington | 20 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| N. Smith | 19 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| K. Charles | 17 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Hines-Allen | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Howard | 38 | 2-12 | 1-8 | 4-6 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | - |
| A. Gray | 37 | 8-15 | 4-9 | 7-8 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 26 | - |
| B. Jones | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 21 | - |
| B. Griner | 30 | 7-14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | - |
| M. Caldwell | 23 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| S. Walker-Kimbrough | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| N. Coffey | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Paopao | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter