Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.5% | 62.5% | +5.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +8 (83-75). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arike Ogunbowale * | 33 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Paige Bueckers * | 28 | 4-15 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| DiJonai Carrington * | 20 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith * | 18 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tyasha Harris | 24 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Teaira McCowan | 23 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Maddy Siegrist | 21 | 6-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Kaila Charles | 17 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 37 | 2-12 | 1-8 | 4-6 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 36 | 8-15 | 4-9 | 7-8 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 26 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 21 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 29 | 7-14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Te-Hina Paopao * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 22 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter