Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.9% | 50.1% | +0.0 | ✓ (17.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +17 (99-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Canada | 37 | 11-22 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 19 | - |
| A. Gray | 36 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| B. Griner | 26 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| R. Howard | 26 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| B. Jones | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 23 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | - |
| M. Caldwell | 14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| N. Coffey | 6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| T. Paopao | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Walker-Kimbrough | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Thierry | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Boston | 33 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 8-8 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 21 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 30 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| C. Clark | 26 | 5-17 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| A. McDonald | 25 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 25 | 9-16 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 14 | - |
| N. Howard | 24 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| D. Dantas | 21 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| L. Hull | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| S. Colson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter