Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.7% | 49.3% | -0.3 | ✗ (17.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +17 (99-82). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordin Canada * | 37 | 11-22 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 19 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 36 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 26 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Rhyne Howard * | 25 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 22 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 13 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Te-Hina Paopao | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Taylor Thierry | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliyah Boston * | 32 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 8-8 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Caitlin Clark * | 25 | 5-17 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 25 | 9-16 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Natasha Howard * | 23 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Lexie Hull * | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 29 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Aari McDonald | 25 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter