Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.7% | 49.3% | -0.3 | ✗ (17.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +17 (77-60). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard * | 33 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Allisha Gray * | 30 | 4-16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Naz Hillmon * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jordin Canada * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Brittney Griner | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Te-Hina Paopao | 14 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Sika Koné | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Taylor Thierry | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Howard * | 28 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 28 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Odyssey Sims * | 27 | 1-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Lexie Hull * | 22 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Aliyah Boston * | 22 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Shey Peddy | 22 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Brianna Turner | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Makayla Timpson | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Bree Hall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter